Blissful 2022, everybody! For a lot of, the New Yr presents a clean slate. We are able to redefine ourselves by making resolutions to be higher, or do higher, or win larger. I embarked upon final weekend with many quick and long-term targets in thoughts, and appeared ahead to a midnight glowing cider toast with my beautiful spouse, who’s virtually eight months pregnant. Topping my listing of resolutions: being extra energetic, understanding extra, bringing in extra money, and having fun with extra time with my household. However then COVID rudely arrived at my home like an anvil falling from the sky. These resolutions all obtained thrown onto the backburner. And life as I do know it got here to a screeching halt.
I used to be sick Saturday morning (Blissful New Yr, sucker!). What I initially thought was allergic reactions or a head chilly Thursday afternoon was flu-like signs 30 hours later. A house take a look at revealed a pink line and a blue line—I used to be COVID-positive. First step: Name out of my day job. Second step: Isolate from my toddler and pregnant spouse. Third step: Strive to not get run over by this factor. The third step proved probably the most troublesome. This virus isn’t any joke!
By Sunday morning, we have been experiencing our worst nightmare. My daughter Ellie went to the hospital for the primary time since she was born. She awakened shaking with a 102 levels fever, and threw up. My spouse was understandably freaked, and he or she referred to as 911. They took an ambulance to Hasbro Youngsters’s Hospital in Windfall, RI. I used to be caught in isolation, attempting to settle down my two-year outdated daughter through Facetime, as she’s strapped to an emergency carseat on an ambulance gurney at 3:00 a.m. With the weekend ER ready room bustling with 10 households after the New Years’ surge, my ladies waited for hours simply to be seen.
Because of any and each increased energy in existence — and my wonderful spouse, and Hasbro (nice hospital) — my daughter is okay. She obtained discharged at 9 a.m. as soon as they obtained her fever down. They mentioned the Omicron wasn’t concentrated in her lungs, a serious purpose it hasn’t been as lethal a variant as Delta. 5 days later, Ellie’s already again to her spunky self, working round screaming for CocoMelon (though a bit raspier than normal). All mentioned, she’s fared a lot better than me — children are so resilient! And my spouse, someway, has examined adverse 3 times. I suppose the vaccine did its job for crucial folks in our home — Mama Bear and our child bear cub, Ellie’s little brother, due March 22.
Evidently, Tuesday afternoon DFS sleepers and values didn’t occur this week. In my two years of penning this column, I’ve by no means missed my 5 p.m. ET Tuesday deadline. So, thanks so much, COVID. You’ve already made me a worse model of myself. However I’ll make up for it by nailing all my picks this week, and making all of you a ton of cash. Hey, it’s one in every of my 5 essential targets: Make my readers beaucoup bucks.
Each Tuesday this 12 months, we’ve been highlighting our favourite under-the-radar performs. We scour the participant swimming pools on the 2 hottest DFS websites and compile an inventory of gamers who we mission to drastically exceed their modest value tags. By pinpointing worth early and sometimes when setting our DFS lineups, we afford ourselves upgrades at different positions.
When you had learn this column final week, you’ll have as soon as once more benefited drastically from our recommendation. Take a look at the highlights of our low-cost, high-value DFS hits from Week 17 (matchups, costs, and closing PPR output listed).
- Joe Burrow, Bengals vs. Chiefs (DK: $6,900 | FD: $7,700): 42.84 fantasy factors
- Damien Harris, Patriots vs. Jaguars (DK: $6,600 | FD: $7,400): 17.7
- Chase Edmonds, Cardinals at Cowboys (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,500): 13.2
- Christian Kirk, Cardinals at Cowboys (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,400): 13.9
- Saints D/ST vs. Panthers (DK: $3,400 | FD: $4,700): 15
That’s a tidy listing of reasonably priced manufacturing. When you hit on any of those DFS performs, to procure your self elite-level manufacturing with out paying top-shelf costs. Give it some thought: for a collective common of $5,680, these 5 performs netted you a mean of over 20 PPR factors. By capitalizing on sleepers and values like these, you doubtless afforded your self a stud or two at different roster spots.
I’m largely recovered now, and I’m as centered as ever. Now could be the time within the NFL season when the studs actually separate themselves from the duds — and now could be the time for DFS specialists to essentially jack up their bankroll. Let’s go discover ourselves some low-cost manufacturing and defeat our DFS opponents like my daughter and I crushed COVID-19. Warriors unite!
All participant values are from DraftKings and FanDuel. All stats are from NFL.com and Professional Soccer Reference.
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: QB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Taysom Hill, Saints at Falcons (DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,700)
Hill didn’t should don his Superman go well with in opposition to the offensively inept Panthers final weekend (apologies, Cam Newton), because the Saints D carried New Orleans to an 18-10 victory. We additionally didn’t see the RPO extraordinaire do a lot in opposition to Tampa’s dominant protection in Week 15. However Hill exceeded 26 fantasy factors in each Week 13 in opposition to Dallas and Week 14 in opposition to the Jets. Very like these two squads, Atlanta’s protection has been beneficiant to QBs this season, permitting the fourth-most fantasy factors to the place. The Saints have a shot on the playoffs with a win this week (and losses from Philly and San Francisco), so count on a Herculean effort from Hill in opposition to the division-rival Soiled Birds.
Kirk Cousins, Vikings vs. Bears (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,200)
Cousins has been cleared to play this week, though it’s a lot too late for the Vikings. Regardless of Minnesota being eradicated from playoff competition, coach Mike Zimmer says he’ll nonetheless begin his veteran QB on Sunday in a divisional sport with Chicago. The final time we noticed Cousins on the sector, he surpassed 20 fantasy factors at house in opposition to the elite protection of the Rams. I believe Cousins will end the season sturdy in opposition to the 6-10 Bears, exceeding 20 factors for the ninth time this season.
Carson Wentz, Colts at Jaguars (DK: $5,800 | FD: $7,200)
I’m most likely staying distant from this play, because the Colts have clearly tried to maintain the ball out of Wentz’s palms over the previous few weeks. However that is Jacksonville we’re speaking about, a squad that ranks twenty fourth in fantasy factors allowed to QBs. If ever there was a very good time for Indy to apply its passing sport forward of the playoffs, it’s now. The Jags will doubtless be stacking the field in makes an attempt to comprise MVP candidate working again Jonathan Taylor, which is all of the extra purpose for Frank Reich to unleash Wentz. Indy must win to get into the dance, and if and once they get there, the Colts stand no probability if they’ll’t throw the ball. It’s a dangerous play, however it may repay. Imagine me, it’s slim pickings within the QB pool this week.
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: RB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
David Montgomery, Bears at Vikings (DK: $6,800 | FD: $7,600)
I do know $6,800 looks like removed from a price, however contemplate the expertise and alternative you get with a talented again like Montgomery in an otherwise-scuffling offense. He’s seen a mean of 25 touches per sport over the previous three weeks, and scored 22.3 PPR factors per sport over the previous two. Minnesota ranks twenty seventh in dashing yards allowed per sport this season (133.3), and twenty eighth in floor yards allowed over the previous three weeks (149.3). The Packers’ Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon gashed the Vikings for 139 mixed yards and two TDs final week, and Montgomery ought to gash them once more this Sunday.
AJ Dillon, Packers at Lions (DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,300)
This beast of a person has been very good this season, averaging 4.3 yards per carry whereas scoring seven touchdowns throughout simply 206 touches. Dillon has discovered paydirt 3 times over the previous three weeks, and he ought to see loads of quantity in opposition to the 2-13-1 Lions, who give up the third-most fantasy factors within the NFL to working backs. Give the BC alum a go this weekend, because the NFC-leading Packers ought to be capable to relaxation beginning again Aaron Jones for a lot of the sport. If we hear studies previous to Sunday that Dillon goes to be rested, too, pivot to third-stringer Patrick Taylor, who affords quite a lot of upside in a premium matchup.
Devin Singletary, Payments vs. Jets (DK: $6,000 | FD: $6,700)
Singletary has been the person for the Payments working sport within the house stretch, trying higher and higher every week. Take a look at his PPR output from Week 14 to 17: 14.9, 16.6, 18.8, 26.0. That’s referred to as hitting your stride on the proper time, and it’s completely the fitting time to money in on this child. The potential has at all times been there, and now Singletary is now paying off with elevated utilization. The Jets rank useless final in fantasy factors allowed to working backs, and so they additionally battle to comprise pass-catchers out of the backfield. Buffalo should not have any bother dismantling Gang Inexperienced, and Singletary ought to see 23-plus touches for the third time in 4 weeks.
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: WR sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Tyler Lockett, Seahawks at Cardinals (DK: $6,400 | FD: $6,900)
As normal, Lockett took the backseat to stud receiver DK Metcalf final week in opposition to Detroit, however this weekend must be circled on the calendar for Lockett followers. Over the previous 3 times Seattle has performed the Cardinals, the speedy wideout has torched the division-rivals for 382 yards and 4 TDs. Verify the smoke detectors and hearth suppression techniques at State Farm as a result of in contrast to a very good neighbor, Lockett can be burning Arizona this weekend (put that in your “Wall of Claims,” J.Okay. Simmons!
Brandin Cooks, Texans vs. Titans (DK: $6,300 | FD: $7,100)
Cooks is probably the most underrated celebrity receiver in soccer — he simply retains on dominating, no matter his groups’ futility on the quarterback place. The veteran surpassed 1,000 receiving yards for the sixth time in his profession final week, and he wants simply 89 yards this Sunday to succeed in 1,100 for the fifth time. Methinks he’ll just do that, as Tennessee surrenders 242.5 air yards per sport (twenty third within the NFL). Cooks has notched 100-plus receiving yards in two of Houston’s previous three video games, and he’s scored three TDs over the previous two weeks. Get Cooks in your DFS kitchen this weekend (unhealthy puns are apparently a symptom of COVID).
Odell Beckham Jr., Rams vs. 49ers (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,500)
OBJ clearly performs second-fiddle to Professional Bowl standout Cooper Kupp, who deserves consideration to be the primary wideout to win MVP honors, however that doesn’t imply Beckham’s not serviceable at $5,800. The gifted veteran has touchdowns in 5 of his previous six video games as a Ram, and he’s produced a minimum of 13.7 PPR factors in every of LA’s previous two video games. In a significant Week 18 divisional house sport in opposition to the playoff-hopeful 49ers, you need low-cost guys who come up massive within the clutch. San Francisco ranks twenty third in PPR factors allowed to receivers, so OBJ appears like an amazing play.
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: TE sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Dawson Knox, Payments vs. Jets (DK: $5,400 | FD: $6,000)
I’m bullish on Knox, similar to my buddies are bullish on cryptocurrency. The gifted tight finish ought to see loads of targets in Buffalo this weekend in opposition to the Jets, who rank twenty seventh in fantasy factors allowed to the place. Anticipate Knox to succeed in double-digit PPR factors for the seventh time.
Pat Freiermuth, Steelers at Ravens (DK: $4,600 | FD: $5,200)
Selecting tight finish sleepers is sort of like enjoying numbers in roulette. You’ll be able to’t actually make an informed guess, it’s simply all luck. Will the ‘Muth get unfastened for a landing this week in opposition to the division-rival Ravens? Possibly so, possibly not. The rookie has seven touchdowns and 7 double-digit fantasy performances. He caught five-of-six targets final week, however he completed with simply 22 yards (he’s surpassed 44 yards in a sport simply as soon as all season regardless of hauling in 54 whole passes). Spin the wheel and take a look at your luck, or play it secure with Mark Andrews or George Kittle and seize your sleepers and values within the different skill-position spots.
NFL DFS Picks Week 18: D/ST sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Saints at Falcons (DK: $3,400 | FD: $4,900)
The Saints made me look good in Week 17, so I’m using with them once more this weekend regardless of the $500 improve on DK. New Orleans’ stifling D was the primary catalyst in its’ 18-10 win over Carolina, and it is going to be the primary purpose for a playoff berth if Who Dat Nation makes it to the postseason. Matt Ryan and the Falcons make loads of errors, permitting the third-most fantasy factors per sport to D/STs. If all goes to plan, New Orleans may very properly log 15 fantasy factors for the sixth time this season.